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Red54
686614.9
285220.5
293526.1
Blue86
503227.5
571920.9
639715.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57492040801005486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.9
17.316.4
Auto9.4
Teleop10.0
End6.8
blue by 1.4
5032
#14
27.53.2
20.323.5
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End5.8
Second
2852
#19
20.51.5
22.320.8
Auto8.5
Teleop5.0
End7.1
blue by 0.3
5719
#16
20.91.9
11.813.7
Auto5.6
Teleop9.7
End5.6
Third
6866
#21
14.90.9
13.012.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End4.5
blue by 0.4
6397
#12
15.41.9
14.816.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed16%Activation oddsEarned