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Red36
503626.2
219814.5
885014.1
Blue102
755847.4
713621.7
293526.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6080204010012014036102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5036
#11
26.22.2
23.221.1
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End6.6
blue by 21.2
47.41.6
38.440.0
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End9.4
Second
2198
#25
14.53.6
18.414.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End3.0
blue by 11.6
26.11.6
16.418.0
Auto9.4
Teleop10.0
End6.8
Third
8850
#22
14.12.2
17.215.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End4.0
blue by 7.6
7136
#15
21.72.7
17.920.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsMissed