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Red96
872920.3
131036.2
503227.5
Blue113
755847.4
613519.3
771226.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718220406010012014096113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.6
26.225.5
Auto11.0
Teleop15.6
End9.6
blue by 11.2
47.41.8
40.542.3
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End9.4
Second
5032
#14
27.50.6
24.924.2
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End5.8
red by 0.9
26.61.8
20.222.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.4
End5.1
Third
8729
#27
20.30.6
16.716.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End4.4
red by 1.0
6135
#23
19.33.0
15.218.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsEarned