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Red109
760322.2
755847.4
219814.5
Blue61
571920.9
503626.2
686614.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9157020408010012014016010961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.5
42.944.5
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End9.4
red by 21.2
5036
#11
26.20.4
26.225.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End6.6
Second
7603
#20
22.21.5
22.423.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.7
End4.3
red by 1.3
5719
#16
20.90.4
18.818.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.7
End5.6
Third
2198
#25
14.52.2
15.517.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End3.0
blue by 0.4
6866
#21
14.90.4
12.412.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed