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Red130
755847.4
270633.2
447647.8
Blue40
885014.1
713621.7
131036.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10054015013040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.82.5
32.334.8
Auto15.7
Teleop22.8
End9.3
red by 11.6
36.21.8
21.219.4
Auto11.0
Teleop15.6
End9.6
Second
47.42.5
34.036.5
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End9.4
red by 25.6
7136
#15
21.71.8
18.216.4
Auto4.0
Teleop10.0
End7.7
Third
2706
#13
33.24.1
21.625.7
Auto9.7
Teleop15.1
End8.4
red by 19.1
8850
#22
14.11.1
16.815.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed