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Red71
293526.1
872920.3
697834.4
Blue86
503125.5
285220.5
447647.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions538502040601001201407186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.41.9
20.522.5
Auto12.3
Teleop13.7
End8.4
blue by 13.4
47.80.7
34.835.4
Auto15.7
Teleop22.8
End9.3
Second
26.11.2
16.117.3
Auto9.4
Teleop10.0
End6.8
red by 0.6
5031
#10
25.50.7
20.020.6
Auto8.5
Teleop8.6
End8.4
Third
8729
#27
20.31.9
16.918.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End4.4
blue by 0.3
2852
#19
20.51.1
21.122.3
Auto8.5
Teleop5.0
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned