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Red103
467856.7
375616.5
752019.2
Blue61
747525.7
808134.3
762316.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7155010015020010361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.73.7
29.933.6
Auto16.9
Teleop31.4
End8.2
red by 22.4
8081
#12
34.30.8
17.518.3
Auto11.7
Teleop16.9
End5.8
Second
7520
#29
19.23.7
17.120.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.4
End5.1
blue by 6.5
7475
#10
25.70.5
17.417.9
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End6.0
Third
3756
#16
16.52.2
17.519.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End4.8
blue by 0.3
7623
#18
16.80.8
18.619.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsMissed