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Red45
762316.8
687513.5
876422.5
Blue130
497650.4
702217.9
540943.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48123010015020045130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8764
#23
22.51.6
18.416.8
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End3.5
blue by 27.9
50.41.3
48.049.2
Auto13.4
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Second
7623
#18
16.81.6
16.314.7
Auto2.3
Teleop8.0
End6.6
blue by 27.0
43.81.3
38.039.2
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End8.7
Third
6875
#27
13.51.6
19.518.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 4.4
7022
#21
17.92.1
20.022.1
Auto6.5
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsEarned