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Red119
808134.3
316148.2
540816.5
Blue88
876514.6
467856.7
762316.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827820406010012014016011988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.22.2
39.541.6
Auto11.5
Teleop29.1
End7.5
blue by 8.5
56.71.0
40.641.6
Auto16.9
Teleop31.4
End8.2
Second
8081
#12
34.33.6
22.926.5
Auto11.7
Teleop16.9
End5.8
red by 17.4
7623
#18
16.81.0
14.715.8
Auto2.3
Teleop8.0
End6.6
Third
5408
#20
16.53.6
14.017.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End5.6
red by 1.9
8765
#24
14.61.0
18.319.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsMissed