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Red107
540943.8
491743.8
687513.5
Blue68
876422.5
808134.3
750913.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1056105015010768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.80.9
41.142.1
Auto12.6
Teleop23.8
End7.3
red by 9.6
8081
#12
34.30.5
27.426.8
Auto11.7
Teleop16.9
End5.8
Second
43.80.9
40.441.4
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End8.7
red by 21.3
8764
#23
22.50.5
15.515.0
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End3.5
Third
6875
#27
13.51.6
11.312.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 0.1
7509
#22
13.60.5
20.019.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsMissed