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Red98
540943.8
772224.1
876422.5
Blue121
260943.5
762316.8
316148.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701062040608012014016018098121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.81.8
41.443.2
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End8.7
blue by 4.4
48.21.7
43.645.3
Auto11.5
Teleop29.1
End7.5
Second
7722
#11
24.13.0
14.217.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End7.6
blue by 19.4
43.52.9
37.440.3
Auto10.7
Teleop25.9
End6.8
Third
8764
#23
22.53.0
15.018.0
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End3.5
red by 5.7
7623
#18
16.82.9
14.217.1
Auto2.3
Teleop8.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned