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Red101
270234.4
876514.6
909841.3
Blue146
368366.8
876422.5
111458.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611500100200101146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.32.2
29.631.8
Auto9.6
Teleop22.7
End9.0
blue by 25.5
66.80.8
62.363.1
Auto17.0
Teleop40.8
End8.7
Second
2702
#14
34.42.2
23.625.8
Auto12.1
Teleop16.7
End5.4
blue by 23.9
58.30.8
47.948.6
Auto14.2
Teleop33.8
End10.1
Third
8765
#24
14.63.6
15.018.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.1
blue by 8.0
8764
#23
22.51.3
19.520.8
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned