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Red108
260943.5
876514.6
497650.4
Blue119
111458.3
772224.1
747525.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114996080120140160180108119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.2
49.749.9
Auto13.4
Teleop28.2
End8.7
blue by 7.8
58.31.6
52.854.4
Auto14.2
Teleop33.8
End10.1
Second
43.50.3
42.542.8
Auto10.7
Teleop25.9
End6.8
red by 17.8
7475
#10
25.71.6
22.524.1
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End6.0
Third
8765
#24
14.60.3
12.613.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.1
blue by 9.5
7722
#11
24.12.3
19.622.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned