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Red104
687513.5
494019.3
368366.8
Blue93
752019.2
876422.5
909841.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1077520406010012014016010493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.2
64.664.8
Auto17.0
Teleop40.8
End8.7
red by 25.5
41.30.9
37.638.5
Auto9.6
Teleop22.7
End9.0
Second
4940
#30
19.30.2
19.219.4
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End3.8
blue by 3.3
8764
#23
22.51.3
20.221.5
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End3.5
Third
6875
#27
13.50.2
12.713.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 5.7
7520
#29
19.21.3
16.617.9
Auto6.6
Teleop7.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned30%Activation oddsMissed