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Red88
494019.3
540943.8
540816.5
Blue141
747525.7
467856.7
909841.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731325010015020088141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.80.8
42.543.3
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End8.7
blue by 12.9
56.71.8
53.955.7
Auto16.9
Teleop31.4
End8.2
Second
4940
#30
19.30.9
18.219.1
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End3.8
blue by 22.0
41.31.6
39.240.8
Auto9.6
Teleop22.7
End9.0
Third
5408
#20
16.50.9
15.616.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End5.6
blue by 9.2
7475
#10
25.71.6
23.625.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed32%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned