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Red114
752019.2
491743.8
316148.2
Blue105
497650.4
494019.3
270234.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221086080100140160180200220114105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.20.1
48.748.6
Auto11.5
Teleop29.1
End7.5
blue by 2.3
50.40.2
50.350.1
Auto13.4
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Second
43.80.1
44.444.3
Auto12.6
Teleop23.8
End7.3
red by 9.5
2702
#14
34.40.2
34.234.0
Auto12.1
Teleop16.7
End5.4
Third
7520
#29
19.20.1
20.019.9
Auto6.6
Teleop7.4
End5.1
Level
4940
#30
19.30.2
19.118.9
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End3.8