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Red94
494643.8
713630.0
77229.7
Blue108
285227.6
490759.8
219817.7
27%Model gave it73%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81100406012014016018094108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.81.1
34.635.7
Auto12.9
Teleop23.8
End7.0
blue by 16.0
59.80.3
51.851.5
Auto14.8
Teleop35.7
End9.1
Second
30.01.1
21.222.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End9.0
red by 2.4
2852
#13
27.60.3
22.422.1
Auto10.4
Teleop9.3
End7.9
Third
772
#8
29.71.1
22.323.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End7.6
red by 11.9
2198
#20
17.70.3
16.816.5
Auto8.0
Teleop5.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsMissed