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Red33
495115.6
219817.7
494022.8
Blue123
857416.9
490759.8
502445.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48125010015033123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4940
#19
22.81.8
24.122.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.2
End5.0
blue by 36.9
59.80.0
52.352.3
Auto14.8
Teleop35.7
End9.1
Second
2198
#20
17.71.8
16.514.7
Auto8.0
Teleop5.1
End4.7
blue by 28.1
45.80.0
40.340.3
Auto14.0
Teleop22.7
End9.1
Third
4951
#27
15.61.8
14.412.6
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End4.3
blue by 1.3
8574
#24
16.90.0
14.714.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed42%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsEarned