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Red81
588527.7
494022.8
468838.3
Blue108
540820.1
467864.6
495115.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions839705015020081108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4688
#10
38.30.4
34.033.6
Auto9.2
Teleop22.7
End6.3
blue by 26.3
64.60.6
58.158.6
Auto17.8
Teleop39.0
End7.6
Second
5885
#18
27.70.2
23.223.0
Auto7.8
Teleop14.2
End5.6
red by 7.6
5408
#23
20.10.6
18.519.1
Auto6.9
Teleop8.1
End5.1
Third
4940
#19
22.80.2
22.322.0
Auto8.7
Teleop9.2
End5.0
red by 7.3
4951
#27
15.60.6
12.613.2
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned