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Red52
857416.9
430824.0
672510.1
Blue83
77229.7
591231.4
687523.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4574020601001201405283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4308
#21
24.00.4
22.623.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.9
End6.6
blue by 7.3
5912
#17
31.41.1
27.128.3
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Second
8574
#24
16.90.4
14.815.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End4.8
blue by 12.8
772
#8
29.71.1
22.824.0
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End7.6
Third
6725
#28
10.10.4
8.38.8
Auto4.3
Teleop1.4
End4.4
blue by 13.3
6875
#11
23.41.1
15.816.9
Auto9.3
Teleop8.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsEarned