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Red54
878922.7
263433.1
857416.9
Blue119
467864.6
490344.1
672510.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6111905010015054119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2634
#14
33.11.2
31.430.3
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End9.2
blue by 31.4
64.61.0
58.659.6
Auto17.8
Teleop39.0
End7.6
Second
8789
#15
22.70.7
18.617.9
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End6.1
blue by 21.4
44.11.0
36.437.4
Auto10.4
Teleop27.4
End6.3
Third
8574
#24
16.90.7
14.413.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End4.8
red by 6.7
6725
#28
10.11.0
9.410.4
Auto4.3
Teleop1.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned