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Red79
494022.8
611027.9
878922.7
Blue121
687523.4
467864.6
356016.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58104020408012014016079121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6110
#12
27.91.3
20.321.6
Auto9.7
Teleop10.6
End7.7
blue by 36.7
64.62.0
59.661.6
Auto17.8
Teleop39.0
End7.6
Second
4940
#19
22.81.3
22.023.2
Auto8.7
Teleop9.2
End5.0
blue by 0.6
6875
#11
23.41.9
17.018.9
Auto9.3
Teleop8.8
End5.3
Third
8789
#15
22.71.3
17.919.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End6.1
red by 6.2
3560
#25
16.51.9
15.217.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
24%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsEarned