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Red108
356016.5
494643.8
591231.4
Blue121
713630.0
494022.8
490759.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961196080140160180108121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.80.1
44.444.3
Auto12.9
Teleop23.8
End7.0
blue by 16.0
59.80.8
57.358.1
Auto14.8
Teleop35.7
End9.1
Second
5912
#17
31.40.1
31.431.3
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End6.2
red by 1.4
30.00.8
28.429.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End9.0
Third
3560
#25
16.50.1
17.116.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End5.8
blue by 6.3
4940
#19
22.80.8
23.224.0
Auto8.7
Teleop9.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned