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Red115
687523.4
878922.7
492043.2
Blue94
588527.7
495115.6
263433.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8474406010012011594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.22.5
37.740.2
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End6.9
red by 10.1
2634
#14
33.12.1
35.137.2
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End9.2
Second
6875
#11
23.42.5
19.522.0
Auto9.3
Teleop8.8
End5.3
blue by 4.3
5885
#18
27.71.6
23.625.1
Auto7.8
Teleop14.2
End5.6
Third
8789
#15
22.72.5
20.122.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End6.1
red by 7.1
4951
#27
15.61.6
11.713.3
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned