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Red83
495115.6
808143.2
492043.2
Blue143
502445.8
468838.3
588527.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10912140608010014016018020083143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.5
43.743.2
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End6.9
blue by 2.6
45.80.2
45.946.1
Auto14.0
Teleop22.7
End9.1
Second
43.20.5
43.743.2
Auto14.5
Teleop22.2
End6.6
red by 5.0
4688
#10
38.30.2
38.338.6
Auto9.2
Teleop22.7
End6.3
Third
4951
#27
15.60.5
16.015.6
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End4.3
blue by 12.1
5885
#18
27.70.2
27.728.0
Auto7.8
Teleop14.2
End5.6