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Red50
1540C16.7
367432.6
Blue36
371130.4
237412.8
644331.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23950501502002505036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.6
36.936.3
Auto6.2
Teleop20.2
End5.9
red by 1.7
6443
#19
31.03.6
37.133.5
Auto7.7
Teleop17.7
End5.5
Second
16.71.1
16.815.7
Auto1.2
Teleop12.5
End3.1
blue by 13.7
3711
#12
30.43.6
36.633.0
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End7.2
Third
8.21.1
5.94.8
Auto-1.2
Teleop7.0
End2.6
blue by 4.6
2374
#14
12.83.6
16.412.8
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsMissed