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Red50
404323.0
444417.7
Blue93
247134.4
27338.7
363623.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7521001502002503003505093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End7.7
blue by 11.4
34.40.6
34.935.5
Auto5.9
Teleop21.1
End7.3
Second
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto1.5
Teleop13.3
End3.1
blue by 5.9
3636
#13
23.60.6
23.824.3
Auto1.1
Teleop16.5
End5.9
Third
8.20.0
8.18.2
Auto-1.2
Teleop7.0
End2.6
blue by 0.6
2733
#23
8.70.6
9.39.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End2.2