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Red80
95529.3
404320.9
644330.2
Blue61
135917.2
703431.9
237421.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95700501502008061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.1
31.631.5
Auto11.7
Teleop15.3
End3.2
blue by 1.7
31.90.2
31.030.9
Auto9.6
Teleop16.5
End5.8
Second
955
#10
29.30.1
30.730.6
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End7.5
red by 7.5
21.80.2
20.920.7
Auto7.4
Teleop8.6
End6.1
Third
20.90.1
22.322.2
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End6.4
red by 3.6
17.20.2
16.416.3
Auto7.5
Teleop3.1
End6.6