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Red59
299023.4
99999.3
154037.6
Blue71
669614.0
135917.2
281131.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84600501001505971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.61.8
39.537.7
Auto11.5
Teleop18.5
End7.3
red by 6.2
31.40.8
36.237.0
Auto14.5
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Second
2990
#17
23.41.8
36.334.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End4.2
red by 6.1
17.20.8
14.415.2
Auto7.5
Teleop3.1
End6.6
Third
9999
#14
9.33.0
10.57.5
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End4.7
blue by 4.7
6696
#15
14.00.8
8.39.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsEarned