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Red89
363635.9
252139.7
154037.6
Blue43
404320.9
646510.1
299023.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1486501002002503003508943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.72.7
48.946.2
Auto12.7
Teleop20.8
End5.5
red by 16.3
2990
#17
23.42.1
34.432.3
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End4.2
Second
37.62.7
37.735.0
Auto11.5
Teleop18.5
End7.3
red by 16.7
20.92.1
22.820.6
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End6.4
Third
3636
#13
35.92.7
42.840.2
Auto6.3
Teleop21.4
End7.4
red by 25.7
6465
#11
10.12.1
12.410.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsMissed