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Red47
95529.3
99999.3
466211.6
Blue63
646510.1
404320.9
281131.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496901001502002503003504763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#10
29.30.8
32.031.1
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End7.5
blue by 2.1
31.40.1
36.036.1
Auto14.5
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Second
4662
#12
11.60.8
10.69.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End5.4
blue by 9.3
20.90.1
16.716.8
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End6.4
Third
9999
#14
9.31.4
12.110.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End4.7
blue by 0.9
6465
#11
10.10.1
8.78.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsEarned