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Red113
469218.7
142544.1
252139.7
Blue78
281131.4
273314.9
299023.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1238005010015020011378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.1
41.941.8
Auto15.0
Teleop21.8
End6.8
red by 12.7
31.41.6
36.134.5
Auto14.5
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Second
39.70.1
45.445.3
Auto12.7
Teleop20.8
End5.5
red by 16.3
2990
#17
23.41.6
28.226.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End4.2
Third
4692
#16
18.70.1
22.222.1
Auto6.1
Teleop6.9
End5.8
red by 3.8
2733
#18
14.91.6
15.513.9
Auto6.9
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsMissed