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Red43
99999.3
469218.7
273314.9
Blue75
363635.9
299023.4
466211.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions438402004006008004375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4692
#16
18.70.5
22.121.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.9
End5.8
blue by 17.2
3636
#13
35.90.2
36.436.2
Auto6.3
Teleop21.4
End7.4
Second
2733
#18
14.90.5
13.913.4
Auto6.9
Teleop5.5
End2.7
blue by 8.5
2990
#17
23.40.2
26.626.3
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End4.2
Third
9999
#14
9.30.7
13.913.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End4.7
blue by 2.3
4662
#12
11.60.2
10.710.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
1%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsMissed