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Red17
469218.7
99999.3
299023.4
Blue98
466211.6
135917.2
703431.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6260203040507080901798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#17
23.42.9
26.323.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End4.2
blue by 8.5
31.91.0
30.031.0
Auto9.6
Teleop16.5
End5.8
Second
4692
#16
18.72.9
21.618.7
Auto6.1
Teleop6.9
End5.8
red by 1.5
17.21.0
15.416.4
Auto7.5
Teleop3.1
End6.6
Third
9999
#14
9.33.9
13.29.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End4.7
blue by 2.3
4662
#12
11.61.0
10.511.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsMissed