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Red45
466211.6
273314.9
646510.1
Blue71
281131.4
703431.9
154037.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4315801002002503004571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#18
14.90.5
21.621.1
Auto6.9
Teleop5.5
End2.7
blue by 22.7
37.65.6
48.442.9
Auto11.5
Teleop18.5
End7.3
Second
4662
#12
11.60.5
14.113.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End5.4
blue by 20.3
31.95.6
40.935.4
Auto9.6
Teleop16.5
End5.8
Third
6465
#11
10.10.5
17.316.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End4.6
blue by 21.3
31.45.6
45.940.3
Auto14.5
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed69%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsMissed