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Red81
159518.4
546823.7
95543.0
Blue50
291518.2
292622.1
451324.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73582040801008150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#3
43.01.6
27.529.1
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End6.8
red by 18.7
4513
#18
24.31.2
21.920.7
Auto6.4
Teleop9.2
End8.7
Second
5468
#23
23.71.6
21.423.0
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End7.4
red by 1.5
2926
#11
22.11.2
18.917.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End7.2
Third
1595
#12
18.41.6
17.619.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End8.8
red by 0.2
2915
#24
18.21.2
15.314.0
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed