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Red78
597017.2
36026.3
99719.6
Blue69
684522.2
41048.9
367432.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7454204060801001207869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#16
26.31.2
31.933.1
Auto6.9
Teleop13.8
End5.6
blue by 6.5
32.91.7
24.526.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.3
End8.8
Second
997
#20
19.61.2
21.422.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End6.0
blue by 2.7
6845
#10
22.21.7
16.217.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End8.4
Third
5970
#29
17.21.2
13.514.8
Auto1.9
Teleop8.8
End6.4
red by 8.3
4104
#31
8.91.7
12.914.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned