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Red9
159518.4
8478.9
597017.2
Blue94
644327.8
466219.5
36026.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62720204080100120140160994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#12
18.46.1
23.717.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End8.8
blue by 9.4
6443
#13
27.83.1
22.525.6
Auto10.5
Teleop11.8
End5.4
Second
5970
#29
17.26.1
17.711.6
Auto1.9
Teleop8.8
End6.4
blue by 9.2
360
#16
26.33.1
25.228.3
Auto6.9
Teleop13.8
End5.6
Third
847
#30
8.96.1
17.711.6
Auto0.7
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 10.6
4662
#17
19.53.1
18.421.5
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsEarned