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Red64
684522.2
592023.9
99719.6
Blue120
95543.0
321838.4
8478.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64834010012014064120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5920
#22
23.90.2
22.522.7
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End8.3
blue by 19.1
955
#3
43.03.6
41.144.7
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End6.8
Second
6845
#10
22.20.2
17.317.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End8.4
blue by 16.2
38.43.6
28.632.2
Auto11.7
Teleop17.1
End9.6
Third
997
#20
19.60.2
22.422.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End6.0
red by 10.7
847
#30
8.93.6
5.69.2
Auto0.7
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned