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Red54
406017.9
597017.2
644327.8
Blue63
451324.3
143221.0
669610.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68562040801005463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#13
27.81.4
29.227.8
Auto10.5
Teleop11.8
End5.4
red by 3.5
4513
#18
24.30.6
23.623.0
Auto6.4
Teleop9.2
End8.7
Second
17.91.4
16.314.9
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End9.3
blue by 3.1
1432
#19
21.00.6
17.416.8
Auto6.5
Teleop4.4
End10.2
Third
5970
#29
17.21.5
16.715.3
Auto1.9
Teleop8.8
End6.4
red by 7.1
6696
#26
10.00.6
12.712.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsMissed