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Red64
291518.2
8478.9
154034.6
Blue55
592023.9
669610.0
406121.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615740801006455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.7
31.932.5
Auto9.4
Teleop16.1
End9.1
red by 10.7
5920
#22
23.90.4
22.722.3
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End8.3
Second
2915
#24
18.20.7
16.016.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End5.7
blue by 2.8
4061
#21
21.00.4
19.118.8
Auto6.0
Teleop7.6
End7.4
Third
847
#30
8.90.7
9.29.9
Auto0.7
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 1.1
6696
#26
10.00.4
12.111.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsMissed