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Red86
406017.9
36026.3
321838.4
Blue63
683125.7
597017.2
466219.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826120401001201408663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.41.1
32.233.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.1
End9.6
red by 12.7
6831
#15
25.70.3
24.825.1
Auto13.2
Teleop7.5
End5.0
Second
360
#16
26.31.1
27.228.3
Auto6.9
Teleop13.8
End5.6
red by 6.9
4662
#17
19.50.3
19.820.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End6.0
Third
17.91.1
14.916.0
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End9.3
red by 0.7
5970
#29
17.20.3
15.315.6
Auto1.9
Teleop8.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed