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Red52
273313.4
99719.6
406121.0
Blue54
292622.1
406017.9
159518.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5658203040507080905254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#21
21.00.9
20.619.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.6
End7.4
blue by 1.1
2926
#11
22.10.4
21.320.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End7.2
Second
997
#20
19.60.9
19.218.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End6.0
red by 1.2
1595
#12
18.40.4
15.915.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End8.8
Third
2733
#34
13.40.9
12.912.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End4.4
blue by 4.5
17.90.4
17.116.7
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsEarned