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Red28
8478.9
273313.4
451324.3
Blue61
597017.2
154034.6
412720.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63593040507080902861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4513
#18
24.33.4
25.321.9
Auto6.4
Teleop9.2
End8.7
blue by 10.3
34.60.5
28.529.1
Auto9.4
Teleop16.1
End9.1
Second
2733
#34DQ
13.43.4
21.818.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End4.4
blue by 6.8
20.20.5
16.116.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End9.1
Third
847
#30
8.93.4
11.68.2
Auto0.7
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 8.3
5970
#29
17.20.5
11.612.1
Auto1.9
Teleop8.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned