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Red109
592023.9
321838.4
154034.6
Blue73
529521.0
367432.9
448817.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107702040608010012014016010973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.40.2
38.138.3
Auto11.7
Teleop17.1
End9.6
red by 5.5
32.90.0
32.832.9
Auto9.7
Teleop14.3
End8.8
Second
34.60.2
34.334.5
Auto9.4
Teleop16.1
End9.1
red by 13.5
5295
#27
21.00.0
21.021.0
Auto1.3
Teleop14.5
End5.2
Third
5920
#22
23.90.2
23.623.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End8.3
red by 6.8
4488
#32
17.10.0
17.017.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End3.0