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Red112
448817.1
367432.9
529521.0
Blue89
143221.0
292622.1
683125.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72735060809010011011289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.0
31.832.8
Auto9.7
Teleop14.3
End8.8
red by 7.1
6831
#15
25.70.4
25.325.7
Auto13.2
Teleop7.5
End5.0
Second
5295
#27
21.01.0
20.021.0
Auto1.3
Teleop14.5
End5.2
blue by 1.1
2926
#11
22.10.4
21.822.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End7.2
Third
4488
#32
17.11.0
16.017.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End3.0
blue by 4.0
1432
#19
21.00.4
20.621.0
Auto6.5
Teleop4.4
End10.2