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Red146
154045.9
546831.8
281149.0
Blue136
299051.0
252157.3
135924.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136138110120130150160170146136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.00.0
49.449.4
Auto16.4
Teleop24.9
End7.7
blue by 8.3
57.30.2
56.356.5
Auto14.2
Teleop33.4
End9.4
Second
45.90.0
46.346.4
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End10.2
blue by 5.1
51.00.2
50.150.3
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End7.4
Third
5468
#20
31.80.0
32.232.2
Auto11.2
Teleop13.8
End6.8
red by 7.6
1359
#14
24.20.2
23.323.4
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End8.1