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Red133
154045.9
546831.8
281149.0
Blue151
299051.0
252157.3
135924.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13414080100120160180200133151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.00.1
48.849.0
Auto16.4
Teleop24.9
End7.7
blue by 8.3
57.30.5
56.857.3
Auto14.2
Teleop33.4
End9.4
Second
45.90.1
45.845.9
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End10.2
blue by 5.1
51.00.5
50.651.0
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End7.4
Third
5468
#20
31.80.1
31.631.8
Auto11.2
Teleop13.8
End6.8
red by 7.6
1359
#14
24.20.5
23.824.2
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End8.1