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Red108
281149.0
646518.6
299051.0
Blue82
634324.3
135924.2
95541.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1057305015020010882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.6
39.440.0
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End7.4
red by 9.6
955
#18
41.40.6
41.341.9
Auto10.0
Teleop24.1
End7.0
Second
49.00.6
39.540.1
Auto16.4
Teleop24.9
End7.7
red by 24.6
6343
#30
24.30.6
19.920.5
Auto7.3
Teleop7.4
End9.7
Third
6465
#28
18.60.6
15.416.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End5.4
blue by 5.6
1359
#14
24.20.6
11.612.2
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed55%Activation oddsMissed