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Red101
135924.2
154045.9
408922.2
Blue97
95731.3
406028.5
469232.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818260709010010197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.91.6
40.342.0
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End10.2
red by 14.0
4692
#15
32.01.0
26.227.2
Auto7.5
Teleop15.9
End8.6
Second
1359
#14
24.21.6
14.516.2
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End8.1
blue by 7.1
957
#11
31.31.0
22.223.2
Auto13.2
Teleop12.0
End6.1
Third
4089
#23
22.21.6
21.723.3
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End6.9
blue by 6.3
4060
#17
28.51.0
28.629.6
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned